The Lancet Infectious Diseases

We introduce PerTexP (Pertussis Time Exploration), an interactive modelling tool designed to investigate pertussis transmission dynamics and to support the evaluation of vaccination strategies and short-term projections. PerTexP allows users to explore and compare maternal, infant, and non-infant booster vaccination scenarios and to assess their potential impact on disease transmission, with a particular focus on the Italian epidemiological context. The tool is based on a discrete-time, stage-st...

BackgroundElimination of Plasmodium vivax is challenging due to its dormant liver stages (hypnozoites), which can reactivate weeks or months after the primary infection, causing relapses and ongoing transmission of the parasite. Despite these challenges, P. vivax clinical case numbers have declined over the past decade in Cambodia. We used parasite genotyping to assess whether the decline in case numbers was reflected in parasite diversity and relatedness as a proxy to transmission. MethodsGeno...

BackgroundArtemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) are the most widely used treatment for Plasmodium falciparum malaria. Kelch 13 mutations associated with artemisinin partial resistance (ART-R) have emerged in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and are now reported in an increasing number of countries. ACT treatment failure rates are at risk of unprecedented increase. To summarise existing surveillance data and guide future surveillance, we produce modelled estimates of the spatiotemporal distribut...

BackgroundThe widespread insecticide resistance increasingly threatens malaria elimination, prompting a reassessment of vector control strategies. As Tanzania transitions from standard pyrethroid-only insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) to new-generation nets, evaluating the impact of this shift on malaria transmission and resistance is critical. MethodsUsing the agent-based malaria model, EMOD, we assessed the impact of three ITN types, standard pyrethroid-only nets, pyrethroid-PBO nets (Olyset(R)...

Background: Schistosoma mansoni is a leading cause of hepatosplenic disease in sub-Saharan Africa. Yet, associations with current Schistosoma mansoni infections and hepatosplenic organometry remain unclear in the context of widespread mass drug administration and co-endemic infections. Methods: From January to February 2024, we conducted a community-based, cross-sectional study nested within the SchistoTrack cohort in three districts of Uganda. Liver and spleen dimensions were assessed via point...

Understanding host susceptibility to Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) is critical for the development of new vaccines. Certain individuals "resist" becoming infected with Mtb despite intensive exposure; however, it is unknown whether there is a genetic basis for "resistance" to Mtb infection across populations. Here we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of resistance to Mtb infection by carefully characterizing exposure to TB patients among 4,058 close contacts in India, Brazil, an...

Linezolid is a critical last-resort antimicrobial for multidrug-resistant Enterococcus faecium, particularly against vancomycin-resistant lineages where therapeutic options are severely limited. While resistance has historically arisen through de novo chromosomal mutations, the global emergence of transferable resistance mechanisms threatens to render more infections untreatable. Here, we characterise a recent (2023-2024) hospital-associated outbreak of linezolid-resistant E. faecium in Queensla...

Strengthening in-country sequencing capacity generated 28 Lassa virus genomes from human clinical cases, expanding our knowledge of Lassa fever in Guinea. Phylogeographic analysis revealed cross-border exchange between Liberia and the NZerekore region, and a Sierra Leone introduction into the Gueckedou area. Enhanced genomic surveillance is crucial to guide future public health actions.

BackgroundCambodia has made great progress in reducing malaria transmission and is targeting elimination. While this progress is particularly marked for Plasmodium falciparum, the situation is different for Plasmodium vivax. It is generally assumed that symptomatic patients are effectively diagnosed using rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs), regardless of transmission intensity. MethodsIn 2023 we conducted a cross-sectional survey among 986 treatment-seeking patients in 6 provinces of Cambodia with v...

BackgroundTwo RSV immunisations products: a maternal vaccine, Abrysvo, and a long-acting monoclonal antibody, nirsevimab, both designed to prevent RSV illness in infants, have recently become available. Modelling evidence is required to inform how to optimally use these products in immunisation programs to reduce the burden of RSV in young children. MethodsWe extend a dynamic transmission model calibrated to RSV-hospitalisation data of children aged < 5 years in temperate Western Australia (WA)...

The emergence of vaccine covered serotypes causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is a serious concern worldwide. We investigated the unexpected rise of serotype 4 causing IPD primarily in non-vaccinated young adults after the COVID-19 pandemic that further spread to adults [&ge;] 65 years in recent years. For this purpose, we conducted a retrospective study of serotype 4 IPD cases (n=827) reported in Spain between 2009 and 2024. Whole-genome sequencing was performed to assess clonal lineag...

BackgroundHeartland virus (HRTV) is an emerging tick-borne virus capable of causing severe illness and death. The burden of disease is likely underestimated due to limited seroprevalence studies, lack of commercially available diagnostic tests, and an overlapping clinical syndrome with more commonly diagnosed bacterial diseases such as spotted fever group rickettsiosis or ehrlichiosis. MethodsActive surveillance for Heartland virus disease was conducted at a large academic center from March to ...

BackgroundMycoplasma genitalium (MG) is an emerging sexually transmitted infection (STI) associated with pelvic inflammatory disease and tubal factor infertility. Its relationship with impaired fecundity remains unclear and is rarely examined in the context of co-seropositivity with other STIs. MethodsWe conducted a secondary analysis of the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction (EAGeR) trial, a prospective preconception cohort of women with proven fecundity and prior pregnancy loss....

From 2021 to 2025, MRSA emerged as a major multidrug-resistant pathogen in the study area. Among 545 S. aureus isolates, 67.2% were MRSA, disproportionately affecting children under five (26.5%) and males (55.5%). Case incidence more than doubled by 2025, suggesting rising transmission or resistance. Most isolates were hospital-associated (85.2%), predominantly from outpatients (88.5%), with middle ear discharge as the main source (67%). Gentamicin showed the highest susceptibility (72.1%), whil...

BackgroundRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of lower respiratory tract infections in children, often leading to hospitalisation in infants. In low-resource settings where routine RSV diagnostics are unavailable, clinical overlap with bacterial pneumonia frequently results in unnecessary antibiotic use, contributing to antimicrobial resistance. ObjectiveTo evaluate the frequency and clinical determinants of antibiotic use among RSV-positive children under two years at a tertiary...

BackgroundLarval source management (LSM) was once central to malaria control before insecticide-treated nets and indoor residual spraying dominated. Renewed interest in LSM raises questions about its effectiveness in rural Africa, where habitats are dispersed, and vector species contribute unequally, and whether species-targeted larviciding could offer greater gains than broadcast approaches. MethodsThis modelling study quantified the potential impact of larviciding in African settings where mu...

Nipah virus (NiV) is a sporadic yet extremely deadly zoonotic pathogen, with reported case fatality rates of 40%-75% in impacted areas. Prolonged incubation, documented relapse, and delayed-onset encephalitis following apparent recovery indicate that NiV dynamics are influenced by intricate temporal processes. However, mechanistic contributions of these processes to epidemic persistence remain poorly understood. In this study, we develop and analyze a delay differential equation model for NiV tr...

BackgroundMeasurement of human antibodies against Anopheles salivary proteins that are injected during mosquito bites may serve as biomarkers of mosquito biting exposure. These biomarkers have been suggested as surrogate outcomes in trials of vector control intervention effectiveness, however, studies to-date have been largely descriptive and do not directly quantify the instantaneous nor cumulative effects of the intervention on antibody outcomes. In this study, we sought to explore the use of ...

Sepsis caused by drug-resistant pathogens remains a major contributor to under-five mortality in low- and middle-income countries, threatening progress toward Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3.2. Blood culture, the gold standard for sepsis diagnosis and antimicrobial stewardship, remains underutilised in routine pediatric care. This study assessed the extent and determinants of blood culture utilisation among hospitalised children under five years with suspected sepsis at four antimicrobial r...

The spread of Anopheles stephensi into the Horn of Africa represents one of the main challenges for malaria control, given the species ecological plasticity and resistance to multiple insecticides. In response to the World Health Organizations 2022 vector alert, an adaptive, model-based spatial surveillance framework was developed and evaluated to improve detection, mapping accuracy, and operational responsiveness during invasion. Adaptive surveillance utilises initial observations to guide subs...